POLITICS: Unreported in the Western Media: Hezbollah Is Losing Popular Support in Lebanon

If one were to rely on the Western media for an assessment of the degree of support among the Lebanese population for Hezbollah, it would be easy to draw the totally erroneous conclusion that the diverse Lebanese ethnic groups have all rallied around Hezbollah.

In fact, nothing could be further from the truth. From the Christians to the Druze, and from the Sunnis to the dominant Shiites, there is a massive revulsion being expressed against the Iranian proxy terrorist group Hezbollah, which had bullied its way toward becoming a mafia-like state within a state.

For the first time in over four decades, the Lebanese terrorist group appears frail. Following the elimination of the group’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, by an Israeli airstrike on Beirut on Sep. 27, the halo around its invulnerable strength against Israel and other regional rivals faded rapidly. Now the group is facing local disgruntlement, added to its diminishing ability to get involved in military conflicts around the region, including Syria and Yemen.

The terrorist organization — which was once considered to be one of the richest in the world thanks to the influx of narcotics money — is currently suffering its worst crisis and no longer perceived by the Lebanese public eye as a defender of their land.

Even before the death of Nasrallah, the Shia population showed disdain towards Hezbollah and its leader for hijacking their lives, and forcing the people to obey its Iranian-affiliated command or face dire consequences or death.

Shia Muslim Dissidence Toward Hezbollah and Iran

A major vocal critic of Hezbollah is prominent Lebanese Shia scholar Ali Al-Amin, who is influential amongst the Lebanese Shia population. In statements to Al Arabiya News on Oct 10, Al-Amin stressed the necessity of handing over Hezbollah’s weapons to the Lebanese army. He added, “In light of the presence of weapons other than those of the state, concern remains.”

“We expressed our opinion on this war after it broke out, and we said that it was not beneficial for Gaza and would harm Lebanon and put it in danger. As for saying that the Israeli threats were a clear justification for entering the war, this is an incorrect statement because these threats existed before October 7, 2023, so why didn’t Hezbollah declare war because of them?” said Al-Amin.

Lebanese Shia leaders, including Ali Al-Amin, blame Hezbollah for the demise of Lebanon and the hardships that Lebanese people are suffering  there. Most importantly, the Shia opinions and anger towards both Hezbollah and Iran are dramatically increasing in Lebanon, with many accusing Iran of throwing Lebanon under the bus through its agent Nasrallah.

Real Anger Against Hezbollah Openly Expressed in the Media

Furthermore, the level of anger amongst average Shia Muslim Lebanese citizens, who were harmed by the terrorist group’s decision to go to war, runs deeper.

“Our building is destroyed, orders were issued that we can’t go back and bring our clothes … They tell us, that’s your problem, work it out! We don’t have money to eat, they respond that this is a decision from the security and anyone who goes back home will be shot at. They want to take decisions on our homes on our behalf” said one desperate Lebanese citizen from Beirut’s southern district — which is Hezbollah’s stronghold — in a viral video online on Oct 17.

The disdain towards Hezbollah is not just emitting from Lebanese Shia scholars — it far extends into the Shia Muslim population in the country. One of the more vocal voices against Hezbollah and the Iranian control of the country is political analyst Hadi Murad.

“This Iranian expansion is calling for fighting till the last Shia Muslim in Lebanon … The Iranian is not welcomed to give us orders from above,” said Murad in a short video posted for Lebanese network Al Mashad on his Facebook page on Oct 7th.

Other non-Shia Lebanese citizens called upon the Shia population in Lebanon to seize this crisis as an opportunity to rise against the dominance of Hezbollah and Iran.

Lebanese Judicial Commissioner Peter Germanos did just that in an interview for Al Hadath Network on October 10th.

“This is an opportunity for the esteemed Shia sector in Lebanon. We know as Lebanese who have a lot of friends that many Shia advocates don’t support Hezbollah and many others who used to sympathize with Hezbollah and today, they realized that Iran exploited that situation and there is an Iranian betrayal and that is apparent,” said Germanos.

Germanos went on to call for an uprising by Lebanese Shia against Iran.

“What is required now is a Shia uprising, the key to the solution for this (crisis) is a genuine Shia uprising for Shias to not have their sons killed for the sake of the Iranian nuclear program,” said Germanos.

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The “Lebanese Survivor” YouTube channel, which is operated by former Lebanese army General Tabet Tabet, has been exposing Hezbollah secret operations for years. A report from October 17th said, “What Hezbollah leaders, media and politicians used to say that if you (Israel) attack us we will attack you and march on Galilee and Jerusalem, but the fact today is that when you (Israel) hits us, we run away. And yesterday, we had Mohamed Raad (a Hezbollah-affliated MP) and Wafiq Safa (Hezbollah’s Coordination and Liaison Officer) shamelessly hide among civilians in Beirut.”

“You have Hezbollah storing its weapons and munitions inside civilian homes,” said the report.

Mohamed Shoieb is a Lebanese activist and founder of the Southern Independent People Front. His daughter was once kidnapped by Hezbollah, and three commercial stores he owned were shut down by order of Hezbollah. As a Shia resident of southern Lebanon, he is fed up with Hezbollah policies.

“Take it from me and I am responsible for every word I say; more than 95 percent of the southern Lebanon population are objecting to the rule of Hezbollah but they are afraid,” said Shoeib in an interview in September.

At this stage, even though Hezbollah has taken a beating by the Israelis, it is far too premature to announce the permanent demise of Iran’s most favored terrorist proxy in the Middle East. For years, few dared to criticize Hezbollah for fear of losing their lives. Hezbollah had no qualms about executing Lebanon’s leaders, journalists, Christians, and Druze — and don’t forget their savagery in Syria, killing tens of thousands of Palestinians at the order of Syria’s Assad.

Still, the open criticism of Hezbollah’s reign of terror by leading Lebanese from all religious backgrounds signals the possibility that Iran’s grip over Lebanon may finally be coming to an end.

Investigative Project on Terrorism (IPT) Senior Fellow Hany Ghoraba is an Egyptian writer, political and counter-terrorism analyst at Al Ahram Weekly, and a regular contributor to the BBC. He is the author of Egypt’s Arab Spring: The Long and Winding Road to Democracy He is a writer and contributor for over a dozen international outlets, periodicals and networks including Newsmax, OANN, BBC Radio, CSP, MEF, American Spectator, American Thinker, Arab Weekly, and Al Arabiya News. A different version of this article was first published by IPT.

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