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An InsiderAdvantage national survey of 800 likely voters conducted February 17-18, utilizing mix-mode text/panel, with a margin of error of plus/minus 3.46%, shows Donald Trump’s approval rating basically mirroring or slightly above the national popular vote results in the election of November 2024.
Here are the results:
What is your opinion of the job performance of President Donald Trump?
– Approve 50%
– Disapprove 46%
– Undecided; 4%
“After a period of weakness in his approval ratings, President Trump has come back to the 50% level, near to or exceeding his margin of victory against Kamala Harris in 2024,” pollster Matt Towery said in a statement discussing the results.
“Other pollsters who also have correctly polled Trump in past election cycles are showing the same upward trend. Rasmussen Reports’ approval shows Trump’s approval on the rise as well. Basically it is a combination of ICE raids becoming orderly and strategic and obvious evidence that the economy is actually turning to the positive,” Towery added.
BREAKING: President Trump’s approval rating found to be greater than his 2024 victory margin at +4 nationwide, 50% approve, 46% disapprove, according to Insider Polling.
— Leading Report (@LeadingReport) February 19, 2026
“While the last government shutdown appeared to hurt Trump’s ratings, this one appears to be actually helping his numbers. There are clearly two camps of pollsters who utilize different methods of data collection and weighting in their approval ratings. But I would note that those firms who most accurately polled President Trump’s three elections use similar methodologies,” he went on.
“Basically the country is where it is when Trump was elected. Highly polarized, but at the moment, more supportive of Trump than not,” he concluded.
Towery’s firm accurately predicted Trump’s big wins in the so-called upper Midwest swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Ohio used to be a swing state, too, but has trended solidly red over the past several election cycles.
White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers responded to Insider Advantage poll in with a statement, saying, according to Breitbart, “President Trump is fighting hard every single day to make life affordable for working people — from delivering the largest middle class working tax cuts in history, directing executive actions that made housing affordability hit a four-year high, and unleashing American energy dominance to bring the national average for a gallon of gas below $3.”
Other recent polls indicate that Trump’s job approval ratings are mostly in negative territory, in contrast to the Insider Advantage poll.
For example, the Reuters/Ipsos poll shows a 38 percent approval rating, while both the Economist/YouGov and Morning Consult polls report a 43 percent approval rating.
Additionally, CNN data analyst Harry Enten highlighted some of Trump’s lowest recent polling figures earlier this week, referencing data from NBC, Quinnipiac, and AP/NORC from several weeks ago.
Some talk about Trump’s floor of support… I’m not sure he has a floor!
His net approval is at a term 2 low across a number of pollsters.
Trump’s now in worse shape than he was at this point in term 1 or where Biden was at this point in his one term.
He’s way underwater. pic.twitter.com/djVTFzztSq
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) February 16, 2026
Notably, however, most of those polls were wrongly predicting a Kamala Harris victory in 2024.
Insider Advantage did not conduct nationwide polling during that election year, but its surveys from key swing states indicated a likely victory for Trump over then-Vice President Biden.
In Wisconsin, the firm showed Trump leading by 1 percent, and he won the state by 0.9 percent. In Pennsylvania, Insider Advantage also had him up by 1 percent, and he carried the state by 1.7 percent. In North Carolina, the firm reported a 2 percent lead for Trump, who ultimately won by 3.3 percent. In Arizona, Trump was shown leading by 3 percent, and he won by 5.5 percent. In Georgia, he was ahead by 1 percent and won by 2.2 percent.
Interestingly, Insider Advantage indicated that Trump was tied in Michigan prior to the election, while other polling firms like Atlas Intel and Trafalgar Group had him with a lead. Ultimately, he won Michigan by 1.4 percent.
The pattern suggests that Insider Advantage generally underreported Trump’s support in 2024, while many other polling firms indicated that Harris was ahead in the race. Therefore, it is reasonable to conclude that Trump’s job approval ratings are more aligned with the numbers reported by Insider Advantage than with those from other polling firms.
The post Trump Polling Better Now Than His 2024 Victory Margin: Report appeared first on Conservative Brief.
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