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TheBurningPlatform.com
Pepe Escobar
Nothing to see here. Just a hypersonic demo. Well, not really. The average American is only capable of making (some sort of) sense of the world through movies. So letβs go back to a classic: the opening sequence of Coppolaβs Apocalypse Now β the Vietnam war counterpart to Joseph Conradβs Heart of Darkness, set in the Congo.
In the movie, Captain Willard (Martin Sheen) is barely capable of enacting a drunken soliloquy alone in his room in Saigon. Heβs waiting for his assignment: a special mission all the way to the Heart of Darkness (in the movie, represented by the illegal American incursion/indiscriminate bombing of Cambodia).
Willard, in the V.O., barely mutters, βEvery minute I stay in this room, I get weaker and Charlie gets stronger.β Charlie, out in the jungle, was how American GIs referred to the Vietcong.
Cue from the βAmerican warβ β how the Vietnamese refer to it β to the US/NATO proxy war in Ukraine.
The American Empire is now a drunken Captain facing the (revamped) jungle β as qualified by that stupid Spaniard Borrell, the exiting EU foreign policy βchiefβ. Every minute Captain stays in his decrepit garden β the counterpart to a seedy room in Saigon β Charlie, out in the jungle, gets stronger.
Whatβs even more ominous is that Charlie, now, is not the Vietcong. Charlie now is nuclear, hypersonic Russia.
Captain America believed it would intimidate Russkie Charlie with the βauthorizationβ straight out of the Deep State for Ukraine to attack targets inside the Russian Federation with ATACMS.
Such attacks had already happened in the past on Russiaβs new territories. Still, two new ones were unleashed after the βauthorizationβ, against Kursk and Bryansk; one with ATACMS, and the other with Storm Shadows.
Then came the inevitable Russian response. What was that? New multiple hypersonics? Zeus? Superman?
Deputy Chair of the Security Council, Dimitri βUnpluggedβ Medvedev, could not resist concise trolling; βSo thatβs what you wanted? Well, youβve damn well got it!β
Collective West rats were predictably scurryinβ all across the spectrum after watching what was first interpreted as a RS-26 βconventional warheads packageβ demo.
Then President Putin went on the record.
Key takeaways: Western long-range weapons have been used against Russia, which retaliated with the new, medium-range, ballistic hypersonic βOreshnikβ system against the Yuzhmash factory in Dnipropetrovsk; additionally, the use of long-range weapons by the enemy cannot affect the course of the Special Military Operation (SMO).
But this was the key relevant message Putin relayed to the Americans, NATO and the collective West:
βWe are conducting combat tests of the Oreshnik missile system in response to the aggressive actions of NATO countries against Russia. The issue of further deployment of medium-range and shorter-range missiles will be decided by us, depending on the actions of the United States and its satellites. The targets for destruction during further tests of our newest missile systems will be determined by us based on threats to the security of the Russian Federation. We consider ourselves entitled to use our weapons against the military installations of those countries that allow their weapons to be used against our facilities. And in case of escalation of aggressive actions, we will also respond decisively and in a mirror manner. I recommend that the ruling elites of those countries that have plans to use their military contingents against Russia seriously think twice about this.β
Moscow Kremlin β Sputnik International, 1920, 21.11.2024
Sir, would you like some hazelnut salad?
The initial interpretation of this de facto game-changing move was that Russia had launched a single RS-26 Rubezh road mobile missile against the Yuzhmash missile production factory in Dnepropetrovsk, equipped with six independent, non-nuclear (italics mine) warheads, each in turn deploying other warheads (call it 6Γ6 = 36).
That in itself changed the βessenceβ of the war in Ukraine, as Putin himself had previously recognized when it comes to the βauthorizationβ for attacks by ATACMS.
Putinβs speech established that Russia in fact used a completely new medium range (1,000 to 3,000 km) missile, the Oreshnik (βHazelnut). Even US officials admitted itβs an βexperimentalβ system; that implies they knew something about it.
Putin himself also referred to βcombat testingβ. What is established beyond any testing, in Putinβs own words, is that βHazelnutβ may be sent as a gift to any target across NATO.
Oreshnik is as badass as missiles get. It may reach the UK in only 19 minutes; Brussels in 14; Berlin in 11; and Warsaw in 8 minutes. And, of course, traveling at over Mach 10, it simply cannot be intercepted by anything in the collective West arsenal. That includes the US.
High destructive power is a given β already guaranteed by the surprise factor; you only know what hits you after you get hit (maybe). One potential option is that Oreshnik targeted secret underground workshops at Yuzhmash, where NATO had sent equipment and parts for short-range ballistic missiles (500 km to 1,500 km).
In his four books and in his blog, the indispensable Andrei Martyanov has made it clear that βRussia has an overwhelming conventional escalation superiorityβ compared to the Hegemon. So, yes: this testing of an IRCM (a conventional missile) with hypersonic MIRVs (Multiple Independent Reentry Vehicles) may be just a demo β a preview of what else may be in store.
Martyanov: βNATO has zero capability to stop Russiaβs long-range fires.β The βdemoβ also happens to be paired with a new shot at making war a relatively civil affair: Moscow will warn civilians of any impending Oreshnik strike. Those that wonβt leave will do so at their own peril.
As Martyanov remarked, βthis is not anymore just SMOβ. Indeed: for quite a while we have been way past a special military operation: this is a do-or-die NATO v. Russia hot war. Aggravated by the fact that the Hegemonβs ruling elites are congenitally incapable of stop escalating.
Even the Oreshnik demo wonβt stop escalation. A plausible scenario is that US military intel learned about an impeding Russian mid-range ballistic missile strike and then informed Kiev and NATO. Moscow then warned the US 30 minutes before the strike (thatβs the norm, to prevent nuclear misunderstandings); the Americans not only confirmed it, but stressed there was no risk of a Russian nuclear attack on Kiev, now or in the foreseeable future.
Oreshnik in fact is a tacit demo that Russia does not need nuclear power to solve anything in the Ukrainian theater of war.
So letβs assume that escalation has been controlled β for now. Yet we still have nearly two months of a completely deranged US administration in power. NATOβs congenital dementia suggests escalation will continue. The difference though is stratospheric: now they donβt know if Oreshnik handing them a business card comes with a nuclear bomb on or not.
For all the inbuilt dementia of the current β exiting β administration, Americans who only understand the world via movies may have forgotten that it was Trump 1.0 who withdrew the US from the INF treaty, in 2019. If the US had remained, Russia would not have been able to develop and use Oreshnik.
But now itβs hazelnut salad time, everybody; a great way to regulate blood pressure.
Original Article: https://www.theburningplatform.com/2024/11/24/oreshnik-the-3-km-per-second-plot-twist/
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