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The looming presidency of Donald Trump is already impacting migration patterns weeks before his January 20, 2025 inauguration. With his well-documented hardline stance on immigration, a growing number of migrants heading to the United States through Mexico are choosing to return to their home countries rather than risk the new administration’s anticipated policies.
According to reports, migrants fear Trump’s promises of mass deportations and stricter border controls, marking a stark departure from the Biden-Harris administration’s more lenient approach. Trump’s previous track record on immigration is reportedly convincing many that his pledges are more than just rhetoric.
Mexican officials have noted a sharp increase in migrants seeking voluntary return to their countries of origin. Fox News reports that 50 to 100 migrants daily are requesting assistance to go home, either at their own expense or through Mexican state programs. Many cite fears of being caught in limbo under Trump’s planned policies.
A particular concern among migrants is the potential elimination of a U.S. government app introduced under the Biden administration. This app allowed migrants to schedule asylum claims with border agents. Trump has vowed to immediately end this program upon taking office, fueling uncertainty for those still awaiting scheduled crossings.
Additionally, Trump plans to reinstate the “Remain in Mexico” policy, which requires asylum seekers to wait in Mexico while their cases are processed. For many migrants, this prospect is alarming due to the dangers posed by drug cartels and general violence in Mexico.
The reversal in migration patterns underscores the immediate impact of Trump’s election. Many migrants who had pinned their hopes on lenient border policies under the Biden administration are now rethinking their plans.
Fox News quoted migrants expressing apprehension about being stranded in Mexico after January 20. “They don’t want to pay thousands of dollars to the cartels just to get deported later,” one social media user noted.
Trump’s proposed policies are expected to include not only the termination of the asylum scheduling app but also a significant expansion of deportation efforts. These measures align with his campaign promise to execute “the largest deportation operation in American history.”
Migrants’ fears are not unfounded. Waiting in Mexico for an uncertain chance at crossing the U.S. border often exposes individuals and families to violence, exploitation, and other dangers.
Cartels frequently extort migrants attempting to cross into the U.S., demanding thousands of dollars for safe passage. Those unable to pay are often subjected to kidnapping, assault, or worse. For many, the choice to return home is seen as a safer alternative than remaining in these precarious conditions.
The humanitarian concerns surrounding these policies are likely to ignite fresh debates as the Trump administration transitions into power.
News of migrants voluntarily returning to their home countries has sparked widespread discussion on social media, particularly among Trump’s supporters. Many are pointing to the reports as evidence of the effectiveness of Trump’s immigration stance, even before he formally takes office.
Sean Hannity, a prominent Trump supporter, shared the story on X (formerly Twitter), writing, “ABOUT-FACE! Venezuelan Migrants En Route to U.S. Turning Around After Trump Win.”
Other users celebrated the news, with one commenting, “48 hours in he’s already making the world a better place.”
Trump’s hardline border policies, including the planned reimplementation of the “Remain in Mexico” policy, represent a significant shift from the Biden administration’s approach. During his first term, these measures helped reduce illegal crossings, but they also drew criticism for humanitarian concerns and the logistical challenges faced by border communities.
The Biden administration’s asylum scheduling app was intended to streamline the process and reduce chaos at border crossings, but critics argue it created loopholes for abuse. Trump’s pledge to end the app is part of his broader strategy to “restore order” at the border.
Trump’s renewed focus on border security will also test the U.S.-Mexico relationship. While Mexican officials have cooperated on immigration enforcement in the past, they now face the dual challenge of managing returning migrants and addressing their own domestic security concerns.
The Mexican government has not indicated whether it will provide additional support for migrants returning home but has reiterated its commitment to ensuring safe repatriations.
As Trump’s inauguration approaches, the shift in migration patterns highlights the immediate influence of his immigration policies. The growing number of migrants choosing to return home rather than face an uncertain future at the U.S.-Mexico border signals a dramatic reversal of the Biden administration’s approach.
With border security set to take center stage once again, Trump’s policies will undoubtedly reignite debates over the balance between national security, humanitarian concerns, and immigration reform. For now, the “Trump effect” is already reshaping the landscape, sending a clear message to migrants and the world that the border crisis under his leadership will look very different.