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In a poll released on Sunday, President Trump leads Kamala Harris in a state Democrats have won seven of the past eight elections.
Trump has taken a slim lead on Harris in a newly-released poll in New Hampshire.
The poll shows Trump ahead of Harris 50.2 to 49.8 percent, making the Granite State a toss-up.
#NEW NEW HAMPSHIRE poll
🔴 Trump. 50.2% (+0.4)
🔵 Harris: 49.8%NH Journal | 10/24-26 | N=622RV
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 28, 2024
Per NH Journal:
Amid signs that former President Donald Trump is slowly gaining momentum in the race for the White House, a new New Hampshire Journal/Praecones Analytica poll released Sunday night finds he’s leading Vice President Kamala Harris in the Granite State.
Trump’s slim 50.2 to 49.8 percent lead is insignificant, well within the margin of error.
But the fact that Trump, who’s lost the Granite State twice, is leading in a state Democrats carried in seven of the last eight presidential races, could be very significant. It’s one of a series of indicators that the Trump campaign is expanding the field of potential pick-up states less than two weeks before Election Day.
The survey of 622 registered voters was conducted by the Praecones Analytica polling firm between Oct. 24-26.
Although New Hampshire only has four Electoral votes, flipping the state could prove vital in next week’s election.
If Trump takes New Hampshire, he won’t need Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin. https://t.co/7WeXB0r8Vx pic.twitter.com/WjJccg2cJF
— Matt Paulus 🇺🇸 (@mdpaulus) October 28, 2024
“Trump’s going to win New Hampshire,” DC Draino exclaimed on Friday.
Trump’s going to win New Hampshire https://t.co/F8DoBCdhNy
— DC_Draino (@DC_Draino) October 25, 2024
Newsweek reports:
In the race for governor, Republican Kelly Ayotte continues to hold a modest but steady lead. In the New Hampshire Journal poll, she leads Democrat Joyce Craig 52 to 48 percent.
Harris, meanwhile, has won every other New Hampshire poll since becoming the presumptive Democratic nominee, including the most recent survey from The Dartmouth Poll conducted between October 5 and 18, in which she led by a massive 21 points (Harris 59 points, Trump 38 points). That poll surveyed 2,211 registered New Hampshire voters.
But Emerson College released a poll last week that put Harris only three points ahead and, combined with the latest New Hampshire Journal/Praecones Analytica poll, the data is beginning to suggest a tightening race.
New Hampshire, which is considered one of the most conservative states in the northeastern United States, voted against Trump in both 2016 and 2020. It last backed a Republican for president when it voted for George W. Bush in 2000.