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According to CNN data reporter Harry Enten, the GOP’s House majority looks to be the smallest margin after an election in about 100 years.
“My goodness gracious: the GOP’s House Majority looks to be the smallest after any election since 1930 with current results. With resignations (e.g. Gaetz), it may be the smallest majority during a House session in 100+ yrs,” Enten said.
“Just 1 GOP defection + All Dems could sink a bill,” he added.
“If all the current results hold up, we’re looking at a record-small majority after November in the last 90 years,” he said.
Enten said the GOP holds a 220-215 majority if the current results hold up.
However, subtracting Reps. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) and Mike Waltz (R-FL), Trump’s picks for his administration, and Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL), who resigned from Congress, would make the majority 217-215.
For the first few weeks or months of the Trump administration, one House Republican defection could be enough to sink a measure.
WATCH:
My goodness gracious: the GOP’s House Majority looks to be the smallest after any election since 1930 with current results.
With resignations (e.g. Gaetz), it may be the smallest majority during a House session in 100+ yrs.
Just 1 GOP defection + All Dems could sink a bill. pic.twitter.com/e5UFksaNAL
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) November 27, 2024
Per Mediaite:
Enten opened the segment alongside anchor John Berman by noting that Republicans will have the smallest House majority since the days of President Herbert Hoover. Moreover, the GOP majority of 220 may shrink to 217 for a period of time due to several members leaving Congress to either join the Trump administration or resigning.
Former Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) resigned following his failed nomination as Trump’s attorney while Reps. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) and Mike Waltz (R-FL) will join the incoming administration.
Enten noted that would degrade the GOP control of the House to a “record small majority” until special elections are held to fill those seats.
The House could be down to a 217-215 GOP majority for several months next year if Duarte loses & Stefanik and Waltz go to the incoming Trump administration (Gaetz is already gone & won’t serve in next Congress.)
— John Bresnahan (@bresreports) November 27, 2024
The GOP currently leads Democrats with a 220-214 majority, with one remaining uncalled race.
California’s 13th Congressional District remains undecided weeks after the election.
Newsweek reports:
The final uncalled race is in California, which is notoriously slow to count ballots. Elections in California, the most populous state, are conducted almost entirely by mail, and it takes longer to verify those ballots.
Democrat Adam Gray leads Republican Representative John Duarte by 182 votes in the Central Valley’s 13th Congressional District, which includes Fresno, Merced and Modesto.
In a November 20 statement, Gray’s campaign manager, Ben Rodriguez, said he was expecting a “photo finish” and that it is “critical that election officials continue their work without interruption so every voter’s voice is heard.”
In an interview with local news station KCRA earlier in November, Duarte stressed the importance of letting “every vote get counted,” saying he was optimistic that Trump flipped Stanislaus and San Joaquin counties, both of which are in the district.
In California, recounts are only conducted if the voter who requests it is willing to pay for it, and recount requests must be filed five days after the election is certified. California’s deadline to certify its election results this year is December 5.