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New York, New York! The ‘city that never sleeps’ may be about to get a lot less crowded.
With polls closing just over 24 hours from now, a radical self-avowed Socialist is set to become the Mayor of America’s largest city.
With a population of more than 8 million, New York City is more than DOUBLE the population of LA — America’s 2nd largest city.
But that number is set to drop dramatically if Zohran Mamdani captures City Hall tomorrow night.
That’s according to a poll that suggest nearly 25% of New Yorkers would consider leaving.
But another 9% of New Yorkers polled say they would DEFINITELY pack their bags if Mamdani pulls out the win!
Keep in mind that poor leadership in New York at the state level has ALREADY created an exodus over the last few years, as this old post from Sean Hannity warned back in 2023:
EMPIRE HATE: Nearly a Third of New Yorkers Want Out Due to Crime and Cost of Living; Poll https://t.co/1zcNSN0W8r
— Sean Hannity (@seanhannity) April 13, 2023
And sure enough…
That ongoing exodus has been draining NYC to the tune of $14 Billion during that time, according to Pam Geller of The Geller Report:
Over 25% of New Yorkers To Flee NYC if Zohran Mamdani Wins: ‘Could Reshape the City’
Hell awaits New York City.
NYC has already over lost about $14 billion in adjusted gross income as residents relocated—particularly to states like Florida.
But this is going to be a tsunami.… pic.twitter.com/G8ovreONEm
—
Pamela Geller (@PamelaGeller) October 28, 2025 
As Geller warns, the ‘tsunami’ of people projected to leave if Mamdani wins will dwarf what has already been happening in the Big Apple.
The AtlasIntel poll that came out over the weekend also hints that Mamdani could be LOSING his massive lead:
WOW.
Final NYC poll from Atlas Intel…
Zohran Mamdani is now leading Andrew Cuomo by just 4.5%, election day tomorrow.
Most accurate pollster in 2020 and 2024 pic.twitter.com/zzmSxvLg3A
— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) November 3, 2025
That shift in the projected outcome might be a harbinger related to the J.L. Partners poll suggesting people are ready to upend their lives and LEAVE if he wins.
But he does still hold the projected win, along with those predictions of the largest mass exodus in American history according to a different poll, as reported by the New York Post:
Around 765,000 people of the 8.4 million residents who call New York City home are preparing to leave, with about 9% of New Yorkers sharing that they would “definitely” leave the city if Mamdani is elected the 111th mayor, the Daily Mail reported, citing a survey conducted by J.L. Partners.
If those residents were to leave, it would be equal to the population of Washington, DC, Las Vegas, or Seattle fleeing the city.
Another 25% of New Yorkers — about 2.12 million — said they would “consider” packing up and leaving.
Among high earners, 7% of those making over $250,000 a year said they would definitely flee.
“If anywhere near that number actually left, the economic impact would be seismic,” pollster James Johnson told the outlet. “Older New Yorkers, Staten Islanders, and white voters are the most likely to say they would pack up and go.”
“When asked to sum up what Mamdani’s New York would look like, respondents called it a ‘disaster,’ ‘hell,’ and — cover your ears, kids — a ‘sh–hole,’” he added.
Men were more likely than women to say they’d leave — 12% of men and 7% of women say they’re sure to move, with roughly a quarter of each group considering it. Voters ages 50 to 64 showed the strongest desire to flee, with 12% certain and 33% weighing a move, according to the poll.
A new AtlasIntel poll released Saturday shows Mamdani at 40.6%, followed by Cuomo at 34% and Republican Curtis Sliwa at 24.1%.
However, the latest RealClearPolitics average still puts Mamdani comfortably ahead by 14.5 points, keeping him firmly on track to become New York City’s next mayor.
As we’ve seen before, polling can get tricky.
Anything purporting to predict the future is going to have an inherent lack of accuracy to some degree. (Other than the inspired in inerrant Word of God and it’s prophetic passages… of course.)
The truth of whether Mamdani’s impending victory is crumbling will have to wait until the votes are actually counted.
As will the reality of whether New Yorkers stay put and endure what is coming, or flee according to the predictions of the J.L. Associates poll.
But Mamdani boldly suggested that the EXACT OPPOSITE will happen if he wins the Mayoral race for NYC.
Check out this clip put out by Buck Sexton, highlighting that ‘delusional’ prediction:
Though his support could be cratering, if some polls are to be believed…
Mamdani has received a last-minute rush of support from Democrat leaders in a bid to maintain his winning trajectory, according to the local CBS affiliate out of Albany, New York:
Nine percent is roughly 765,000 of New York residents. New York City has a population of 8.5 million.
More polling shows that 2.12 million residents of New York City would consider leaving if Mamdani has an election victory.
If 2.12 million residents leave the city, that would account for about 25% of New Yorkers.
Polling suggests Mamdani is expected to win the mayoral race on Nov. 4 as he is dominating his opponents, Curtis Sliwa and former Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo.
Last week, hundreds of thousands of New Yorkers voted early in the election, as Mamdani’s support continues to increase.
He recently had a major rally with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y. and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.
He was also endorsed by Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul. It was also reported that he was praised by former President Barack Obama in a private phone call.
“Your campaign has been impressive to watch,” Obama told Mamdani, according to the New York Times. Obama stopped short of endorsing Mamdani for the job.
With 24 hours left before polls close, one thing is certain.
The mayoral election in NYC has come to highlight the ongoing rift in America between those who would push us off the ‘utopian’ cliff of socialism…
And those who would see America’s largest city make a come back from the crime and financial struggles it has endured under Democrat leadership.
Unfortunately, it may be too little and too late to alter the trajectory of NYC’s current decline into Democratic Socialism.
One more day, and we may be able to answer those questions more clearly — along with being able to judge more surely what path America’s largest city is about to take.
This is a developing story, and we’ll be sure to bring you the results as the numbers come in once the polls close.
This is a Guest Post from our friends over at WLTReport.
