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Democrats should be very concerned about their ability to win elections in the future, and that isn’t just because of their corruption or how out-of-touch they are with the American people.
In what could be a nightmare for Democrats, the Electoral College is predicted to drastically shift in favor of red states after the 2030 census.
Eric Daughtery broke it down:
BREAKING: In a devastating development for Democrats’ political future, the US Electoral College is about to swing +14 VOTES in favor of Republican states after the 2030 Census.
That means a swing of 14 seats in the US House of Representatives toward Republicans as well.
And… pic.twitter.com/5XFdkCruoX
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 25, 2025
BREAKING: In a devastating development for Democrats’ political future, the US Electoral College is about to swing +14 VOTES in favor of Republican states after the 2030 Census.
That means a swing of 14 seats in the US House of Representatives toward Republicans as well.
And that means the Republican presidential nominee’s pathway to 270 Electoral College votes DRASTICALLY expands, per NYT.
In a scenario like this, the Republican could win the Sun Belt states, none of the Rust Belt swing states, and win the presidency – NOT the case in 2024.
Other combinations open up as well.
Doom.
What this means is that the path to victory for Democrats is about to become a whole lot narrower.
Strategies that would have worked in 2024 and 2028, like picking up several key swing states, would no longer secure a win.
The 2030 census brings bad news for Democrats. Reapportionment could flip 9 House seats and the road to the White House gets much tougher.
In 2028 a Democrat can get elected President by winning MI, WI & PA.
In 2032 the Democrat loses even if he/she wins MI, WI, PA and NV. pic.twitter.com/9ggtUa0iG4
— Wiley Nickel
(@WileyNickel) August 26, 2025
In fact, Democrats’ potential ways to secure the majority of electoral college votes would shrink from 25 paths to just five.
Maybe the direness of this all hasn’t sunk in with the Democrat party as a whole yet, but the New York Times is already full panic mode.
In a new report, the NYT is warning Democrats that they will not be able to win elections in the future without majorly changing their strategy.
To ever win an election again after the next census, Democrats will need to win over voters in states they traditionally ignore.
Read an excerpt from that New York Times report here:
The year is 2032. Studying the Electoral College map, a Democratic presidential candidate can no longer plan to sweep New Hampshire, Minnesota and the “blue wall” battlegrounds of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and win the White House. A victory in the swing state of Nevada would not help, either.
That is the nightmare scenario many Democratic Party insiders see playing out if current U.S. population projections hold. After every decennial census, like the one coming up in 2030, congressional seats are reallocated among the states based on population shifts. Those seats in turn affect how big a prize each state is within the Electoral College — or how a candidate actually wins the presidency.
In the next decade, the Electoral College will tilt significantly away from Democrats.
Deeply conservative Texas and Florida could gain a total of five congressional seats, and the red states of Utah and Idaho are each expected to add a seat.
Those gains will come at the expense of major Democratic states like New York and California, according to a New York Times analysis of population projections by Esri, a nonpartisan company whose mapping software and demographic data are widely used by businesses and governments across the world.
Across all of the possible scenarios in the nine states that would be considered battlegrounds in the 2032 election, Democrats would see about a third of their current winning Electoral College combinations disappear if population projections hold. However, when looking only at the most feasible winning combinations based on voting behaviors in the 2024 election, the outlook is far worse. Of Democrats’ 25 most plausible paths to victory in 2024, only five would remain.
Some groups have arrived at an even more challenging outlook for Democrats in 2032. For example, the Brennan Center for Justice, a nonpartisan organization, projected Republicans to have three more safe seats from Texas and Florida, and New York to lose one more seat than The Times’s projection.
The Democratic Party already faces acute challenges after its disastrous losses in 2024, including fundraising woes, an electorate that slid decidedly to the right, a vacuum of leadership and a sharp decline in voter registrations.
The party is also battling President Trump’s push for red states to redraw their congressional maps in the middle of the decade in order to secure Republicans an advantage in next year’s midterm elections. While this does not directly affect a future Electoral College, it adds urgency for Democrats to expand into new areas.
The dire post-census projections put the party in a bind between two necessary tasks: investing to win in the short term, including in the midterms, and building a future in states that have not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate in decades.
Still, the looming Electoral College shift presents such an existential threat to the party that many Democrats, including the chairman of the Democratic National Committee, are adamant that planning for the next decade must begin now.
“There’s no doubt about it, and it’s a lot of what I talked about when I ran for chair,” Ken Martin, the D.N.C. leader, said in an interview. He added, “We have to acknowledge that there’s some of these states that are red that are going to need more resources to essentially help us win down the road.”
Of course, there’s one solution to all this that the New York Times overlooks.
The Democrat party could back up and begin focusing on actually serving the American people.
Get rid of the woke, radical ideas. Stop prioritizing illegal criminal immigrants over hardworking, honest U.S. citizens. Drop the support of mentally-deranged men in skirts.
Start focusing on making our nation a great place to live, work, and raise a family.
If Democrats actually did some of those things, then they’d be bound to pick up some key votes. In fact, they’d probably get a lot of support.
But, of course, that would mean Democrats would have to admit they were wrong and start agreeing with President Trump on a lot of things.
Something tells me the chances of that happening are even lower than the odds of Gavin Newsom retiring his hair gel.
Whar is your thought?
This is a Guest Post from our friends over at WLTReport.